Brad Case
Chief Residential Economist at Homes.com
Dr. Brad Case is a distinguished economist with over 35 years of experience at the forefront of housing market research and econometric modeling. As the Chief Residential Economist for Homes.com, he leads the development of sophisticated analytical tools that shape our understanding of real estate dynamics.
Throughout his prolific career, Dr. Case has pioneered several industry-standard methodologies. He notably co-developed the Case-Quigley house price appreciation model, designed to advance and refine the traditional Case-Shiller repeat-sales approach. His contributions to the field include patented inventions for REIT-based pure property return indexes and innovative backward/forward trading contracts.
Dr. Case’s work leverages cutting-edge technology to provide granular market insights, including:
- Recession Forecasting: A relevance-based model utilizing 12 variables with monthly data dating back to the 1960s to estimate U.S. recession probabilities.
- Machine Learning & Development: A ML-driven model assessing the development viability of rental communities across 199,000 block groups nationwide.
- Market Analytics: Advanced hedonic models for nationwide rent estimation, alongside supply/demand forecasting and market capitalization rate analysis.
A respected thought leader, Dr. Case has published 15 articles in peer-reviewed academic journals, supplemented by dozens of book chapters and industry commentaries. He is a frequent speaker at university real estate programs and global conferences, including the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Institute. His insights have been featured across television, radio, and major financial podcasts.